Обзор финансовых рынков США на 20.07.2016 г.


Новостной фон. США

По итогам торгов во вторник основные индексы США показали следующие результаты:

– 18559.0, +25.96, +0.14%, – 2163.8, -0.14, +0.24%, – 5036.37, -19.4, -0.4%.

Ключевые фондовые индексы США завершили сессию торгов без единой динамики после того, как Международный валютный фонд из-за неопределенности по поводу выхода Великобритании из ЕС ухудшил свои прогнозы глобального роста.

Макроэкономическая статистика в регионе:

Министерство торговли США – закладки новых домов повысилсяли на 4,8% до годового уровня 1,189 млн в июне по сравнению с уровнем 1,135 млн за май (прогнозисти прогнозировали 1,170 млн). American Petroleum Institute (институт нефти США) – снижение запасов нефти за прошедшую неделю составило -2,3 млн баррелей, хотя экспертами ожидалось меньшее снижение (около -1,9 млн).

Dow Jones – в минусе закрылось 18 компаний из 30, входящих в индекс, лузером стали акции Microsoft () -1,86%, а лидером роста акции +2,15%.

S&P 500 – все сектора без исключения закрылись в отрицательной зоне, самым большим лузером сессии стал сектор основных материалов -1,2%.

Обзор акций. США


Лидеры:

Johnson & Johnson () (крупный производитель косметических и санитарно-гигиенических товаров, а также медицинского оборудования) – акции повысилсяли на 1,71% после хорошего опубликованного квартального отчета.

Yahoo! Inc. () (интернет компания) – котировки поднялись в основную сессию торгов на 0,58% не смотря на очередной негативный квартальный отчет (на продленных торгах акции падали более чем на 2,5%).

Аутсайдеры:

ConocoPhillips () и Diamond Offshore Drilling () (энергетические компании) – акции упали на 1,9% и 3,8% соответственно вслед за стоимостью нефти, которая опустилась ниже уровня в $45 за баррель.

CF Industries Holdings (), и Alcoa () (сырьевые компании) – котировки опустились на 4,1%, 5,3% и 2,7% соответственно, после того как цвалюты Японии на сырье и металлы пошли вниз.

и (ритейлеры) – капитализация компаний уменьшилась на 2% и 1,6% соответственно, вслед за снижением секторов ключевых индексов США.

(крупнейший в мире производитель программного обеспечения) – котировки упали на 1,61% на фоне ожидания квартального отчета (после подачи данных воодушевляющей квартальной отчетности, уже после закрытия основной сессии акции на after hours поднялись на 4,24%).

Новостной фон. Нефть, золото, американская валюта США

Нефть марки на текущий момент предлагается по цене $45.55 за баррель и сегодня корректируется после снижения до своего двухмесячного дноа. Трейдеры ждут подачи данных еженедельных информации об уровне запасов топлива на рынке США (если официальная статистика подтвердит ожидания прогнозистов, то это будет девятым подряд снижением уровня запасов нефти).

Фил Флинн (эксперт из компании Price Futures Group) сообщил: «Очевидно, добыча сланцевой нефти в США достигла максимума и продолжит падать».

на текущий момент котируется по цене $1329.00 и незначительно дешевеет на фоне роста курса американская валютаа и оптимистичных экономических информации по США. Скорее всего американская валюта будет получать поддержку со стороны усиления повышательного давления, после того как газета WSJ опубликовала статью, согласно которой у руководителей ФРС растет уверенность в возможности повышения ставок в этом году (возможно, уже в сентябре).

Доллар США показал укрепление, а валютная пара достигла уровня в 1.1020. Аналитики думают, что американская валюта продолжит пользоваться спросом после того, как инфо по закладкам новых домов в США подсказали рынку, что не следует исключать повышение ставки ФРС в этом году. Комментарии ряда руководителей ФРС, включая центриста Денниса Локхарта, способствовали покупкам американская валютаа (по словам Локхарта, на рынках сохраняется порядок после Брекзита, который не принес прямого вреда экономике США).

Портфельный управляющий Aviarex Trading Артем Мурашко



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В Киеве в результате взрыва погиб журналист Павел Шеремет



Рубль в плюсе, несмотря на заявление Путина и слабую …
Investing.comФорекс

Investing.com − Рубль пытался расти в начале торгов среды на фоне слабо позитивной динамики нефти. Новых факторов, способных дать рынку импульс к росту, пока не наблюдается.
К 11:00 МСК пара американская валюта/российский рубль торговалась вблизи уровня 63,40, а европейская валюта/российский рубль – в районе 69,70
Котировки «черного золота» остаются ниже уровня $47 за баррель …



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The Easy Way to Make Piles of Money by Skimming Forex Robot Reviews

There are thousands of forex robot reviews on the Internet. It can be hard to dig through them, and figure out which are honest and which are self-serving. Many people write fake reviews to try to get you to buy the robots.

Luckily, you don’t have to believe them. Just because they say something doesn’t mean it’s true. You’re simply going to use their review as a guide. You can verify their conclusions with only a little bit of work.

Here’s how you can do that…

Go to a forex broker and open a demo account that allows forex robots (expert advisors). There are many of them online, and you might want to try several until you find one you like.

You are going to be testing lots of robots, so you don’t want a broker that is difficult to deal with. Find one that you’re comfortable with.

After you’ve found a good broker, read through the reviews. When you find a robot you want to try, go to the sales page. Make sure that they offer a money-back guarantee.

Most of them offer at least an 8 weeks guarantee. This means that if the robot doesn’t work as advertised, you can get your money back.

After you buy the robot, set it up in your demo account and let it trade for you. You might want to invest in a virtual private server (VPS) so that you don’t have to leave your computer on 24 hours a day. This program runs on your broker’s computer and hosts the robot for you. That way you don’t have to install it on your home PC.

Let the robot trade for you for a few weeks, until you’re sure it’s doing a good job. Then you should test the robot with a live account. Don’t risk a lot of money. Many robots will trade profitably in a demo account, but fall apart when unleashed on a live account.

Remember to only let a robot trade with money you can afford to lose. Don’t let a computer program trade your retirement nest egg.

Finally, remember that not all forex robot reviews are equal. Find some reviewers you can trust, and this will make your life easier.



Source by John Harper

Сотрудники ФСБ задержали сразу несколько высокопоставленных служащих СКР



Турция после провала путча охотится за критиками Эрдогана в …
ReutersОбщие новостные сообщения

СТАМБУЛ (Рейтер) — Турецкий Совет по высшему образованию распорядился уволить 1.577 деканов в университетах, сообщил гостелеканал TRT, что стало частью масштабной чистки в десятках государственных институтов после неудачной попытки госпереворота. Президент Тайип Эрдоган и его соратники возложили ответственность за унесшую более 200 жизней попытку переворота…



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ФСБ провела обыски и задержания в Следственном комитете



МВФ вновь ухудшил прогнозы глобального роста из-за Brexit
ReutersОбщие новостные сообщения

ВАШИНГТОН (Рейтер) — Международный валютный фонд во вторник ухудшил прогнозы глобального роста на ближайшие два года из-за неопределенности, связанной с предстоящим выходом Великобритании из Евросоюза.
Прогноз роста ВВП Соединенного Королевства на 2017 год снизился почти на 1 процентный пункт.
МВФ ухудшил прогнозы глобального роста пятый раз за 15 месяцев,…



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Высшее образование: лишние люди



МВФ вновь ухудшил прогнозы глобального роста из-за Brexit
ReutersОбщие новостные сообщения

ВАШИНГТОН (Рейтер) — Международный валютный фонд во вторник ухудшил прогнозы глобального роста на ближайшие два года из-за неопределенности, связанной с предстоящим выходом Великобритании из Евросоюза.
Прогноз роста ВВП Соединенного Королевства на 2017 год снизился почти на 1 процентный пункт.
МВФ ухудшил прогнозы глобального роста пятый раз за 15 месяцев,…



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Easy Tips For Simple Money Management

Money doesn’t buy happiness. It’s not more important than your family, your friends or your health. But let’s not kid ourselves — financial security gives you the freedom to make the choices that are right for you, and freedom can be the key to happiness. We’d all like to improve our money management skills, and the first step toward getting better at something is understanding it. So let’s turn to the 21st century’s primary source of information: Google. And that’s when it gets a bit hairy. This is how a prominent website defines ‘money management’:

‘The process of managing money, including investments, budgeting, banking, and taxes. Also called investment management.’

You’re probably not feeling very inspired right now. In fact, if you’re like most people, reading that has probably got you thinking that ‘money management’ is something best left to the professionals — people who know something about money. But what you may not have realised is that, when it comes to your money, the person who knows the most about it is you. Let’s be clear: money management is a big topic, and there are lots of books, articles and advice that will help you deal with the specific issues you’ll face as you work toward financial freedom. But definitions of money management that get bogged down in the details miss an important point: the secret to good money management is simple. You just need commitment and organisation.

You know how much money you make and how much you spend — after all, you’re the one spending it! Whether you’re investing in the stock market or buying a sandwich, you make money management decisions every day of your life, and if you don’t like the results you’re getting all you need to do is change your habits. Like any subject, financial advice comes with its own language, so you’ve probably heard words like ‘budget’ and ‘statement of net worth’. This terminology can be a bit intimidating but the thing to remember is that these are just names for the tools that will help you sort out how much money you have, where it’s going and how you can generate more of it. If you find out what they are and learn how to use them to make money management a part of your daily routine, you’ll be able to make the best use of your resources and create a lifestyle for yourself that’s a lot less stressful, with a lot more options.

So what exactly do you do? Well, as we said, money management is a big topic and the learning process is going to be a lot easier if you take it one bit at a time. You can browse our list of articles for specific topics and you can check out our online store for comprehensive guides on how to create strong financial foundations for your family. But before you do either of those things, you’ll need to commit to it and get organised. Sit down with your family and decide what you want out of life, and commit to doing the things you’ll need to do to get what you want. Then start organising. Dig up all your bills, statements, receipts and other important financial documents, blow the cobwebs off them and start creating a system that will make them easy to find. Use expanding files or folders to create separate spaces each different type of document and sort them all into chronological order. Once you can honestly say that you know where everything is, you’re ready to begin the process of consciously managing your money — and with a bit of guidance you’ll be prepared for any challenges you’ll face along the way.

Money management is a broad topic with a lot of different facets, so it’s not surprising that Google pulls up some confusing results. But it isn’t anywhere near as scary as it can sound. By being conscious of what you do with your money, you can use the principles of money management to build wealth and take control of your future. And hey — Google isn’t always scary. After all, if you ask it to, it will bring you here.



Source by Analaura Luna

Битва фундаментальных и технических прогнозистов. 19 июля



МВФ вновь ухудшил прогнозы глобального роста из-за Brexit
ReutersОбщие новостные сообщения

ВАШИНГТОН (Рейтер) — Международный валютный фонд во вторник ухудшил прогнозы глобального роста на ближайшие два года из-за неопределенности, связанной с предстоящим выходом Великобритании из Евросоюза.
Прогноз роста ВВП Соединенного Королевства на 2017 год снизился почти на 1 процентный пункт.
МВФ ухудшил прогнозы глобального роста пятый раз за 15 месяцев,…



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How Halving Affects the Bitcoin

The halving takes effect when the number of ‘Bitcoins’ awarded to miners after their successful creation of the new block is cut in half. Therefore, this phenomenon will cut the awarded ‘Bitcoins’ from 25 coins to 12.5. It is not a new thing, however, it does have a lasting effect and it is not yet known whether it is good or bad for ‘Bitcoin’.

People, who are not familiar with ‘Bitcoin’, usually ask why does the Halving take place if the effects cannot be predicted. The answer is simple; it is pre-established. To counter the issue of currency devaluation, ‘Bitcoin’ mining was designed in such a way that a total of 21 million coins would ever be issued, which is achieved by cutting the reward given to miners in half every 4 years. Therefore, it is an essential element of ‘Bitcoin’s existence and not a decision.

Acknowledging the occurrence of the halving is one thing, but evaluating the ‘repercussion’ is an entirely different thing. People, who are familiar with the economic theory, will know that either supply of ‘Bitcoin’ will reduce as miners shut down operations or the supply restriction will move the price up, which will make the continued operations profitable. It is important to know which one of the two phenomena will occur, or what will the ratio be if both occur at the same time.

There is no central recording system in ‘Bitcoin’, as it is built on a distributed ledger system. This task is assigned to the miners, so, for the system to perform as planned, there has to be diversification among them. Having a few ‘Miners’ will give rise to centralization, which may result in a number of risks, including the likelihood of the 51 % attack. Although, it would not automatically occur if a ‘Miner’ gets a control of 51 percent of the issuance, yet, it could happen if such situation arises. It means that whoever gets to control 51 percent can either exploit the records or steal all of the ‘Bitcoin’. However, it should be understood that if the halving happens without a respective increase in price and we get close to 51 percent situation, confidence in ‘Bitcoin’ would get affected.

It doesn’t mean that the value of ‘Bitcoin’, i.e., its rate of exchange against other currencies, must double within 24 hours when halving occurs. At least partial improvement in ‘BTC’/USD this year is down to purchasing in anticipation of the event. So, some of the increase in price is already priced in. Moreover, the effects are expected to be spread out. These include a small loss of production and some initial improvement in price, with the track clear for a sustainable increase in price over a period of time.

This is exactly what happened in 2012 after the last halving. However, the element of risk still persists here because ‘Bitcoin’ was in a completely different place then as compared to where it is now. ‘Bitcoin’/USD was around $12.50 in 2012 right before the halving occurred, and it was easier to mine coins. The electricity and computing power required was relatively small, which means it was difficult to reach 51 percent control as there were little or no barriers to entry for the miners and the dropouts could be instantly replaced. On the contrary, with ‘Bitcoin’/USD at over $670 now and no possibility of mining from home anymore, it might happen, but according to a few calculations, it would still be a cost prohibitive attempt. Nevertheless, there might be a «bad actor» who would initiate an attack out of motivations other than monetary gain.

Therefore, it is safe to say that the actual effects of «the Halving» are probably favorable for current holders of ‘Bitcoin’ and the entire community, which brings us back to the fact that ‘Satoshi Nakamoto’, who designed the code that originated ‘Bitcoin’, was wiser than any of us as we peer into the future.



Source by Adil Adeel

Госзакупки: нужна ли рынку единая электронная площадка?



Рубль продолжает консолидацию вблизи 63 за американская валюта
Investing.comФорекс

Investing.com − Российский российский рубль продолжает демонстрировать устойчивость к высокой волатильности на финансовых рынках и к колебаниям цен на нефть.
Сегодня курс национальной валюты колеблется вблизи уровня 63 рубля за американская валюта. Отметим, что в мае, когда цвалюта Японии на Brent, как и сейчас, была близка к уровню $47 за баррель, пара американская валюта/российский рубль торговалась …



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Полиция Баварии нашла у афганца, напавшего на поезд, связи с ИГ




Полиция Баварии нашла у афганца, напавшего на поезд, связи с ИГ



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Бьются об залог



Топ-5 новостей понедельника
Investing.com — 21 час назад

Главные пять новостей для финансовых рынков в понедельник, 18 июля:
1. Турецкая лира отскочила, а акции рухнули после неудачной попытки государственного переворота
В понедельник …



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Macroeconomics — Understand the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Inflation and Unemployment

Macroeconomics is the subject analyzing the economic factors that effect nations and the relationship with other nation. In this article, we will discuss the consumer price index(CPI), inflation and unemployment that effect the economy of a nation.

1. Consumer price index (CPI)

The price level is impacted by a broad range of prices in the economy and is measured by a price index and changes in price levels are measured by changes in a price index over a period of time. The Consumer Price Index, or CPI measures the price of a basket of consumer good overtime a period of time. This basket of goods refers to those goods and services typically consumed by a nation family for necessities of life, such as food, shelter and clothing, consumer electronic and house hold items.

If the CPI increase faster than the family income, the living standard of household declines, and I have inflation. Each year the changes in CPI are measured against the base year and the base year is moving upwards occasionally in order to keep the numbers meaningful and relevant. Since 1980, the CPI has increased by approximately 6% per year.

2. Inflation

The inflation rates are shown as a percentage change in the price level and inflation is the increase in the general price in the economy from one period to another. As the inflation increase our purchase power decrease, our money is devalued because good now become more expensive resulting in lower living standard.The central bank in the all nations make momentary and financial change to offset the effects of inflation by lower or increase the central bank rate.

3. Unemployment rate.

The unemployment rate is calculated by dividing the total number of unemployed people by the number of persons available in the labor force. The labor force is the total number of people unemployed who are actively looking for work plus the total number of people employed. People working part time are not included in this calculation. The unemployment rate also fluctuates from one time period to another and varies from group to group.

I hope this information will help. If you need more information of the above subject, please visit my home page at:



Source by Kyle J Norton

Five Ways to Protect Yourself When Selling Your Business

I read with interest a report of April 23, 2008, entitled «Millions involved in local business purchase scam» published in the Christian County Headliner News. As a certified public accountant that has represented buyers/sellers in business sales transactions and also as Managing Partner of Sunbelt Business Advisors — a business brokerage firm, I thought it beneficial to write about the many red-flags that were present in the article. Red flags that others should be aware of and protect themselves against as they attempt to either sell or buy a business.

SMALL BUSINESSES ARE NORMALLY SOLD AS AN ASSET PURCHASE AND NOT A STOCK PURCHASE. This transaction appears to have been a stock purchase and not an asset purchase. This should have been one of the first very large red flags. Small, privately held businesses are almost never sold as a stock purchase. A stock purchase means the current owners legal entity-the company, continues on instead of the new buyer creating a new company. In a stock purchase the new owners get everything the sellers business owns — bank accounts, receivables, any potential and actual liabilities. This includes contingent liabilities the new owner may not even know about. Additionally, a stock purchase does not allow a new owner to get stepped up basis of the company furniture, fixtures and equipment. The stepped up basis of the FF&E could mean thousands of dollars in tax savings to a new owner that would be very beneficial the first few years of ownership. A buyer walking in and immediately wanting to purchase the stock of business and assume all liabilities, potential future liabilities — known or unknown and leaving the additional depreciation on the table is almost unheard of. A normal asset purchase agreement (not a stock purchase) would have generally excluded cash and bank accounts of the prior company. The new owners in an asset purchase agreement, unlike a stock purchase would not have been able to transfer funds from the company accounts. They would need to open new bank accounts in their new company name.

AT CLOSING, BUYERS FUNDS SHOULD BE AVAILABLE. Apparently this deal closed without confirmation or having actual funds from the buyer. No business purchase transaction should close without having funds available and present at closing. This would be the same as selling your house to someone, closing the transaction, but the buyers not having loan approval yet. You wouldn’t do it and neither should sellers of small businesses.

ALWAYS USE A QUALIFIED CLOSING ATTORNEY. The sale of a business should be closed by a qualified closing attorney. Qualified closing attorneys will have their own space and normally not need to use others. A qualified closing attorney will make sure all legal documents are in order; make sure funds are available to pay the seller and file all required legal and IRS documents. Anyone selling or purchasing a business should insist upon having a qualified closing attorney conduct the closing. The absence of a qualified closing attorney should be a red flag.

USE A QUALIFIED BUSINESS BROKER — DON’T TRY IT ALONE. Not using a qualified, professional business broker is another red flag. Can business deals be completed without using a business broker? Certainly! One can also write their own contracts without using an attorney or prepare their own tax return without using a CPA, but it isn’t necessarily the smartest thing to do. Especially when talking about the sale of a business which is probably one of the largest if not the largest asset a person owns. Something as important as this should not be attempted alone. A qualified business broker will help educate the seller as to the process, help establish a valid market price, effectively market the business, screen buyers, and help qualify buyers, assist with negotiations, work with existing seller CPA and attorney, and work with closing attorney and overall management of the process and be there to advise the seller as to red flags!

NEVER CHANGE THE BANK ACCOUNTS UNTIL YOU HAVE YOUR MONEY. Another subtle, but yet red flag is it appears the seller changed the signature cards at the bank(s) and the names of the people allowed access. Even in a stock purchase, the current bank account holder — the seller would have to have the bank change the names and cards. Obviously, if this did in fact happen, it happened prior to the seller having funds from the buyer. The new buyer also apparently had the «keys» to the business before the seller was paid the purchase price. It is like selling your car to someone and agreeing to be paid at some future date; while you watch the «new buyers» that you just met drive off into the sunset with your car. You probably will never see your money or your car.

Most small business stories like your article remain non-public. Just like most financial frauds that occur at small businesses. People do not like to talk about the failures of small business transactions but, they are happening all the time and all across the country. It is very important that sellers and buyers understand the process of selling/buying a business, watch for red flags and use qualified professionals to help them in the process. Doing so will save them money, time and effort and make for a much better business transaction.



Source by Ted A. Smith

Реакция РФ на доклад WADA



Топ-5 новостей понедельника
Investing.com — 10 часов назад

Главные пять новостей для финансовых рынков в понедельник, 18 июля:
1. Турецкая лира отскочила, а акции рухнули после неудачной попытки государственного переворота
В понедельник …



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